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lead?

#1 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2008-November-24, 04:45

K9xxx
Jxx
QJ9x
Q

All vulnerable MP's, rho opens and it goes

1*-1**-x-xx***
2-p-4-all pass

* could be exactly 4-4-3-2
** what else?
*** promises Ax Kx or Qx of spades, might have 3 to A, K or Q in a quite bad hand

Lead?
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#2 User is offline   Hanoi5 

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Posted 2008-November-24, 04:55

Why 'might have 3 in a quite bad hand'?

Small spade for me, please.

 wyman, on 2012-May-04, 09:48, said:

Also, he rates to not have a heart void when he leads the 3.


 rbforster, on 2012-May-20, 21:04, said:

Besides playing for fun, most people also like to play bridge to win


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#3 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2008-November-24, 05:00

i dunno

QJx
xxx
Jxxxx
xx
?

I could have made it a 4333 but that would be too trite.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#4 User is offline   Hanoi5 

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Posted 2008-November-24, 05:11

But it promises honors in spades, right? I'd still lead a small spade.

 wyman, on 2012-May-04, 09:48, said:

Also, he rates to not have a heart void when he leads the 3.


 rbforster, on 2012-May-20, 21:04, said:

Besides playing for fun, most people also like to play bridge to win


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#5 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2008-November-24, 05:16

Low spade.

For me the choice is between a low spade and the more ambitious club (hoping partner can get in while we still have trumps, to get a small cross ruff going).

I don't mind the club, but choose the spade, because there are a lot of ifs about the club lead - maybe partner won't get in soon enough, maybe partner's spade is the queen, etc.

If partner has 3 spades in a weak hand, is he still promising one of the top 3 honors? (Seems like a waste of a lead-directing agreement, if he does not.)
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#6 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2008-November-24, 05:22

yep 655322 it does, sorry about that, edited now
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#7 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2008-November-24, 07:54

I think there are more then two leads:
A Club, a trump, a low spade and a high spade, even a diamond can be right.

A club needs the heart or the club ace together with the ace of Spade to be a winner.
A low spade is standard and won't give anything away.

A diamond can be right, because it is a good bet to belive that a diamond length is with our LHO.

A High spade may stay on lead and can figure out which suit will give the best profit. But it will limit the chances to reach partner for a club ruff.

I lead the king of spades. After all, why do I play these kind of redoubles if I don't use the information I get?
Second choice is the queen of Diamond.
Kind Regards

Roland


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#8 User is offline   oldman5757 

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Posted 2008-November-24, 17:47

Other tables probably won't get the spade "indicator," and the normal lead against what seems like a normal 4 contract is the Q. It still could be the best lead anyway.

If I want to swing the board, I lead a club. Now if P has either A or A, we'll get a ruff. Maybe we can build a trick and a as well. I'd probably lead the Q because clubs may be breaking badly for declarer so passive may work as well as agressive, and probably won't cost us a trick. :(
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