A MP Decision
#1
Posted 2004-July-06, 01:40
♥Axx
♦KQ
♣Axx
Vul: All
Dec: S
Monday's low level Club tournament.
Last deal of the third and last round, the opponents are in 2nd place after the first two round, just behind you.
In this round you are scoring average.
The bidding, with silent opponents.
1♣* - 2♦*
3♦* - 3♠*
4♦* - 4♠*
Playing our beginners' version of Precision, I know that:
- Pd has 8-12HCP, 5+[d]
- Pd has ♦A
- Pd has one K
Playing our beginners' version of Precision, I don't know if:
- Pd has 5 or more diamonds
- Pd has ♦J
What is your choice?
We can also talk about the bidding, but I would like to know your evaluation at this point.
Thank you.
#2
Posted 2004-July-06, 02:24
Hongjun
#3
Posted 2004-July-06, 02:43
2C 2D
2NT 3NT
4NT 5D
6NT
The only method I know to find out about the diamond jack is a relay scheme with denial cue-bids.
#4
Posted 2004-July-06, 04:17
#5
Posted 2004-July-06, 04:23
#6
Posted 2004-July-06, 06:54
And for the conditions you posted I don't we are going to win the tournament bidding 6N.
#7
Posted 2004-July-06, 07:35
#8
Posted 2004-July-06, 07:43
If partner has:
♠ 10 x x
♥ Q x x
♦ A x x x x
♣ K x
then 6♠ might be the only making slam. The best play would appear to be to win ♥ in dummy, unblock diamonds, cross in trumps, ruff diamond (all my trumps are high), draw trumps, cross in clubs and take my remaining diamonds for discards. Makes as long as diamonds no worse than 4-2 and trumps no worse than 4-1.
Of course 6NT will score higher on the occasions it makes. If I'm going to punt a grand it will have to be in spades, although 7♠ can't make here - for example I cannot get a club ruff and retain an entry to the diamonds. Even if partner has only two spades, or even a singleton, I can probably make 6♠ as long as he can provide me that extra entry.
#9
Posted 2004-July-06, 08:00
Free, on Jul 6 2004, 08:35 AM, said:
I think it's not the system, it's who plays it!
EarlPurple is right, I should have thought to play in spades and ask for support. I will show partner's hand (and the play) to see how do you bid this, but first I was curios to know if, with the same information, you experts would bid 6 or 7.
#10
Posted 2004-July-06, 08:56
If partner has a ♠ fit, you have 11 sure tricks, and your partner has at least a jack more. There has to be at least a chance for a squeeze (where there is 11 tricks, they easly maybe a 12th). In addition to your partners AK, he has to have at least a jack more for his 8 hcp, and could have a useful queen.
The field will bid slam, with your 23 plus great suit and controls, opposite a minimum of 8 (31) and max of 12 (35). I doubt the field will reach 7NT. Your big problem is rather ot play in notrump or spades... you choose the worng asking bid sequence. You should start with 2♠ over 2♦.
In 6NT, I anticipate an average.. just what you need win if your estimate is correct (as long as whoever is in third/fourht doesn't swoop past you with a grood round). However, given that this was a three round event (two boards each), I would be worried about that possibility, and thus would give a lot more thought to a 7NT/4NT bids. Two averages on the last two boards will probably not hold up for first place (depends a bit on how much ahead we are of course). There is two ways to swing on this hand... stay low, and hope no slam makes (4NT), and go whole hog and bid the grand (7NT/7S).
Ben
#11
Posted 2004-July-06, 09:56
1C-2D-3D
now
3H = no top honor
3S = 1 top honor, 5 cards
3N = 2 top honors, 5 cards
4C = 1 top honor, 6+ cards
4D = 2 top honors, 6+ cards
4H = all 3 top honors
more modern trump asking bids are more efficient.
#12
Posted 2004-July-06, 10:23
mikestar, on Jul 6 2004, 10:56 AM, said:
1C-2D-3D
now
3H = no top honor
3S = 1 top honor, 5 cards
3N = 2 top honors, 5 cards
4C = 1 top honor, 6+ cards
4D = 2 top honors, 6+ cards
4H = all 3 top honors
more modern trump asking bids are more efficient.
Yes I know.
The complete answers are very useful, but our team teorist

#13
Posted 2004-July-06, 10:27
♠Txx
♥KJx
♦AT9xx
♣xx
♠AKQJx
♥Axx
♦KQ
♣Axx
You see the partner hand.
Not the right Jack....
Lead: ♣K
I unblock ♦KQ, LHO has a single diamond, I play five round of spades, LHO has four, RHO discards three hearts and a club.
A heart to J, that holds, but RHO shows out and LHO knows that he could shortened his hQ without damage, keeping a club. So I prefer to let the last trick to the lady on my right.
Believe it or not, 6NT would be a top.
The opponents won the tournament, we finished 3rd.
By the way, as the cards are, 7S is makeable with the heart finesse, provided you don't cash the two diamonds: ♣A, 4 rounds of spades, and the ♥J is the needed 2nd entrance to dummy.
#14
Posted 2004-July-06, 11:12
OSH, on Jul 6 2004, 04:23 PM, said:

If the "bidding theorist" (sic!


"The complete answers are very useful, but our team teorist


#15
Posted 2004-July-07, 06:58
partner is having ♦A, and a K, he is houdl be having at leas 1 more card... if that is the Q with the K you are home, 5♠+3 on a suit+1ace+ 4♦ after ruffing one with 5th trump on your hand.
#16
Posted 2004-July-07, 08:57
- 3-3 diamonds or
- 4-2 diamonds with the ♦J falling or
- trumps 3-2, diamonds no worse than 4-2 with the heart finesse working
With trumps 4-1 (as they are here) you may decide to simply finish drawing the trumps, then play ♦KQ, hook the ♥J, and then as the cards are now take the ruffing-finesse in diamonds. This line succeeds as the cards lie but lose when the heart finesse fails.
The alternative line with trumps 4-1 is to take 4 rounds, now unblock ♦AK and if the jack hasn't dropped, cross to ♥K to lead ♦A and hope they break. If they do not you are quite a few down though. Here you would still succeed though because you would know, when they are 5-1, that you need the heart finesse and would take the line above.
So it looks like 7♠ will make because trumps are 4-1. But if they were 3-2 I would be going down with diamonds 5-1.
#17
Posted 2004-July-20, 09:13

#18
Posted 2004-July-20, 15:54
I am not bidding 6NT when 7NT might be cold and it will have a play.
If I cannot find out about the ♦J then if partner has the ♦J 7NT is almost certain and if not then there is always a 3-3 break or perhaps partner has an extra diamond.
Even if this turns out to be on a 3-3 break in the play, in the bidding this Grand is much better than 50%.
I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon