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Your call?

#1 User is offline   cnszsun 

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Posted 2010-May-01, 22:17

Scoring: IMP

1-5-??

Michael Sun

#2 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2010-May-01, 22:32

These spots are always annoying but I think bidding 5/5 with this hand is just too much. I would double or pass depending on my read on RHO's aggressiveness about bidding at the 5 level.
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#3 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2010-May-01, 23:56

X.

We play it as penalty, i.e. the risk that p bids on is low.,
but pass is certainly not unreasonable.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#4 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 00:00

We might have found a level where a double is considered penalty. A first on BBO?
"Bidding Spades to show spades can work well." (Kenberg)
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#5 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 02:25

Maybe. I'll dbl too.
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#6 User is offline   Jlall 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 02:43

I'd just bid 5H in their face, it's going to be really hard for them to double and maybe they'll bid 6D and maybe we'll actually be able to make.

If they double I'll be really sad, and it's possible I go -100 or -200 instead of +50 or +100 which hurts.

Anyways I'm an expert and I bid 5 over 5 vul you can't double me!
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#7 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 02:50

Pass. Second choice 5. Don't understand double.
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#8 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 04:32

aguahombre, on May 2 2010, 06:00 AM, said:

We might have found a level where a double is considered penalty.  A first on BBO?

It is not penalty of course but partner will not pull unless he has extraordinary shape. I know that some people think this is an obvious caveat to calling a double penalty but I really do not think so. And it is a continuous function. To simplify this post let me just illustrate it with the trumps you need to pass out partner's double and the likelihood of that happening (fictitious percentages and trump holdings):
1h-(1S)-x: Kqj9x .2%
1h-(2D): Aqj8 1.7%
1h-(3D): Jxx (and no good bid) 15%
1h-(3S): xx 34%
1H-(4D): x 64.3%
1H-(5D): could be a void as long as you are not a good 6-5 with great hearts or strong to pull to 6C or etc 87.9%

So where do you pull the line? Is there a point of pulling a line at all?

takeout
takeout
takeout
takeout
____________THIS IS THE POINT OF NO RETURN THE PERCENTAGE PASSED 73.15%!!!!! ENTER AT YOUR OWN RISK
penalty
penalty
etc
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#9 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 04:38

I think penalty doubles are like these:

1NT-(5m)-x here you know partner is unable to pull a 5 level double. You can x safely with as little as KQx of clubs say.
2S-(3H)-x partner preempted and all decisions are yours unless you directly involve him like a 4H bid encourages him to bid 5 over 5 (this is only one possible agreement)
doubles of retarded bids like
1D-1N
2C-3D
p-(3H)????? He's retarded!!! Double away.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
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#10 User is offline   mcphee 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 04:40

OK I am a sucker and try 5H some times we make it. Some days they dble and you have a regret or so, maybe even feel real panic, this hand is more offensive.
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#11 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 08:31

Gwnn: I will try to make my jokes a little more obvious, next time.
"Bidding Spades to show spades can work well." (Kenberg)
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#12 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 09:02

Please do, I still don't understand. I thought you implied that a sizable majority of BBF would consider this double as penalty and I thought it would be productive to speak up because I don't consider it a penalty double. Was I wrong about my starting point or I just should not have replied.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#13 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 09:11

No, actually your scale of "degrees" on doubles at the various levels was probably quite valuable to a lot of readers; and that cannot be a bad thing.

Not being a big math whiz, I will assume the numbers are close enough to make your points valid. I know you said the numbers were fictitious, but they look about right to me for illustrating the concept.
"Bidding Spades to show spades can work well." (Kenberg)
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#14 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 09:18

yep the numbers are fictitious but I tried to choose them in a way to be relatively close to reality, except I did not put in a lot of thought to it and certainly there is no statistical background to them.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
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#15 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 10:04

Jlall, on May 2 2010, 03:43 AM, said:

Anyways I'm an expert and I bid 5 over 5 vul you can't double me!

Sign of the apocalypse - Justin bids 5 over 5 and Phil doesn't! And 5 Hearts! LOL

I think 5 is an interesting poker bid, but I think we are about a Q short (or a s/v in a pointed suit).

I'm much more comfortable passing and pulling a x to 5.

Anyone play FP here?
Hi y'all!

Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
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#16 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 10:09

It's pass that I don't understand. I bid 5 and don't find it that close a decision but I would much sooner double than pass!
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#17 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 10:48

jdonn, on May 2 2010, 11:09 AM, said:

It's pass that I don't understand. I bid 5 and don't find it that close a decision but I would much sooner double than pass!

I don't believe the admonission to "support with support" applies when the first chance to bid occurs at the 5-level.

I'm not saying you are wrong but there is something about bidding on with this hand that to me feels as if I have been goaded into it by opponent's action.

I doubt I will get doubled, but I also think I have more chance to go positive by defending than bidding. My hand is not so strong defensively that I expect to get a large number - so by elimination I have convinced myself to pass.

I know, big shock there. :)
"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere."
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#18 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 11:20

You have been goaded into it by yours opponents action. That doesn't make bidding wrong, it just means your opponents found a good time for their action.

Despite the fact most people aren't bidding, I think if you don't (at least at imps) you are REALLY missing the boat. It is not very difficult for both sides to be cold for game opposite completely innocuous hands for partner! Give partner something like Axxx AJxxxx x Qx and one side or the other is likely cold for game, or maybe partner has Axx of spades and Qxx of clubs and they could beat you on a spade lead but lead a stiff, club, etc. Make partner's hand a little better and, given the distribution (heart void) the opponents likely have it's very possible both sides make game.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#19 User is offline   Jlall 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 14:59

Phil, on May 2 2010, 11:04 AM, said:

Anyone play FP here?

lol I hope not
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#20 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2010-May-02, 15:29

Jlall, on May 2 2010, 03:59 PM, said:

Phil, on May 2 2010, 11:04 AM, said:

Anyone play FP here?

lol I hope not

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