PassedOut, on 2011-February-10, 09:34, said:
Let's examine this a bit.
An atheist says that all reliable explanations are natural. A theist says that some reliable explanations are supernatural. Not much difference in content so far.
When offering actual explanations, though, the theist has a lot more latitude: he or she can always play the supernatural wild card. And if the set of all natural explanations is "content free" as Phil feels justified in saying, then all explanations with actual content spring from the theist's playing of the supernatural wild card.
But is that really content?
Suppose that a natural explanation and a supernatural explanation conflict. The historical position of theists was that such conflicts should be resolved by punishing those who offered the natural explanations. And often that punishment was severe.
Over time, though, so many people could see that the natural explanations were correct that most theists conceded. However, you still have sad situations like the one that started this thread in which less sophisticated (and less honest) theists continue to press the supernatural explanation over the natural explanation.
But Phil is more thoughtful and more honest than that. As I understand it, sophisticated theists search for supernatural answers to questions not amenable to natural explanations. Questions, perhaps, like "What is the purpose of life?" and "Why do horrible things happen to some people and not others?" and "How do I obtain 'salvation?'"
Because that wild card can be played whenever a theist feels like it, all such supernatural explanations are inevitably, in my opinion, "content free."
I'm not sure this really accurate representation of what I said, but maybe I was not as clear as I would like to think.
. We all agree that the set of natural explanations represents at least "almost all" phenomena. Whether you think God exists or not, we all agree that the natural world exists! The point is more that there should be some explanation as to why our world is the way that it is. Indeed, it is hard to understand why it is that human reason and the natural laws seem to correlate so well, in the sense that conceptual insights can provide such powerful tools in understanding nature, if, as Winstonm contends, the concepts are not in any sense real.
I meant atheism is content free in the sense that it is impossible to make a link between the philosophy of atheism, and any explanation of why the natural world is the way it is. In fact, one should not even try, but only accept the natural world as something that is an accident, and not in need of any explanation. It is in this sense that atheism is content free. Now I chose to focus on reason as something that exists in our universe, but cannot be explained by material causes, but I could have focused on different things. Many have done the same with the concept of beauty. Others with truth, or justice. All these are concepts that we perceive as real, without them having any material basis. I perceive atheism and materialism to be incapable of providing an explanation for these crucial aspects of our world. Winstonm's counter argument is to merely contend that discussions about these things have no meaning, precisely because they are not firmly rooted in reality. This is the counterargument advanced by many philosophers of language. Probably Foucault produced it in its most sensible form. (Archaeology of knowledge). However, the standard counter argument to this is that we should start our epistemological investigations from the assumption that we can obtain reliable information from our experience of reality, because otherwise you are entering a maze from which there is no way out. A broken epistemology that cannot even justify itself. I half-jokingly referred to Chesterton, but I also really think that he nailed the essence of this kind of thinking, which is that one should not try to ignore things that you experience, just because they do not fit into your concepts of reality. I content that is precisely what the Wimstomn, and the post-modernist model of language, has done.
Also, the characterisation as a wild card, is somewhat unfair. I was not suggesting that one should not search for natural explanations. Only suggesting that natural science renders some things impossible, even as it renders others possible. When one claims that the impossible has happened, eg
Miracle of the Sun, you should, of course, search for a reasonable explanation. As Dr House would say, "People lie". Nevertheless, one should not start with the assumption that it is impossible that it is genuine. In any case, an example such as the one given is as miraculous for its timing as it was for its events. No matter the theory that *may* be advanced to explain it, it still does not explain how small children were able to predict it. There remains something here that needs to be explained, that cannot be explained by science. In any case, it is more that there are two possible (from your point of view bad) explanations. One that "hundreds of people and otherwise reliable observers were duped by 3 small children in an illusion seen up to 18 miles, and it just happened that these 3 small children were devout and claimed that they had visions," or "God really exists, and in this case chose to perform a miracle so that people might improve their lives by believing in Him". Since it seems clear that probability for the first one must be vanishingly small, one only has to consult with your prior's to establish whether the second is slightly larger than vanishingly small, in which case you should regard it as most likely. Since I give the second statement a probability of 1, this is a no brainer for me.
In any case, positing Gods existence as the "best of possible explanations" is not positing a wild card in the sense of ignoring a perfectly good natural explanation.
The physics is theoretical, but the fun is real. - Sheldon Cooper