Bidding vs. Play of The Hand A comparative valuation
#1
Posted 2011-July-11, 17:14
#2
Posted 2011-July-11, 17:15
NOTE: My percentages may not be exactly accurate. I rounded down for elements of stupidity, and rounded up for carelessness.
#3
Posted 2011-July-11, 17:29
I hope someone can find the other thread for him.
edit: I found it
http://www.bridgebas...__1#entry530457
This post has been edited by aguahombre: 2011-July-11, 17:35
#4
Posted 2011-July-11, 19:03
#6
Posted 2011-July-11, 20:24
As aguahombre mentions, this has come up recently. Notable in that thread, in my opinion, is this post by awm, which references this thread by bluecalm, which has actual data for this question at the expert level. There's also this post by jlogic (and more by him and others, which I'll leave you to find yourself) expressing the seeming consensus opinion that most of us who are at a point where we would be asking this question should really be studying cardplay over bidding.
#8
Posted 2011-July-11, 21:36
IMO, card play is where it's at. In my neck of the woods we have a lot of Polish players that bid like they are criminally insane.
They get away with more than 50% by playing the cards so well.
What is baby oil made of?
#9
Posted 2011-July-12, 01:23
#10
Posted 2011-July-12, 16:25
Humoring someone with your thoughts can't be that hard guys.
www.longbeachbridge.com
#11
Posted 2011-July-13, 01:08
rduran1216, on 2011-July-12, 16:25, said:
I'm thinking the exact opposite of every word you wrote here.
#12
Posted 2011-July-13, 02:49
http://www.bridgebas...ge/page__st__60
Different bidding decisions almost always lead to swings. This may give the impression that making the best bidding decisions is the way to win. But that is not true: sometimes the worst bidding decision happens to give the best result, say when you bid and make a 20% slam, or when you fail to bid an 80% slam that would have gone down because of an unlucky split.
On the other hand, different lines in cardplay often don't lead to swings even if one line is safer (and better) than the other. But when they do lead to swings it is usually (not always, of course) the player who took the better line that wins.
A similar thing can be said about opening leads, I think. The opening lead is very often critical so if you were a clairvouyant who always makes the winning lead you would be a world champ. That is not to say that always making the best lead would make you a world champ: sometimes it is just a guess and it could easily be that the opening lead that is "best" (in the sense that it has the best probability of setting the contract) works poorly.
#13
Posted 2011-July-13, 08:55
Free, on 2011-July-13, 01:08, said:
Me too -- And of course Lurpoa upvotes it!
#14
Posted 2011-July-13, 09:20
2) At all except the very highest levels of play (late rounds of open world championships), cardplay is more important. Bidding is only more important at that level because the level of cardplay is already so high.
3) The level of cardplay in a routine bracket 1 regional event (supposedly "expert" level) is very low.
#15
Posted 2011-July-13, 09:47
Yesterday for example, I took a r vs. w sac where both sides make 10 tricks, played in 3NT with a 5-3 major fit when suit or NT both make 11 tricks, competed to 4c over 3M when doubled down one was better than -140...etc.
Play mistakes are much more common. I agree that the nuts and bolts of winning at most levels is playing the cards well. But I'm responding on a theorhetic basis where we assume strong levels of both bidding and play.
www.longbeachbridge.com