This hand is taken from Bird's book "Somehow we landed in Six Notrump" page 50 , Quiz 10.
The solution in the book is that you can give yourself an extra chance should East hold sole guard in hearts and clubs, in which case East will have to discard his diamonds on the run of the spades.
South does likewise, after which you can play 4 rounds of clubs to establish the fifth.
(Should East have 5 clubs he will have to discard one on the run of the spades or relinquish control of the hearts.)
Technically this is called a squeeze without the count, because you rectify the count after the squeeze operated. (In this case squeeze East out of diamonds and a fifth club)
However, it seems to me you can do much better and make the hand as long as East holds at least 3 cards in clubs and you read the end position correctly.
In other words you can make the hand, irrespective how the hearts are distributed.
What is quite common in these positions, you may have a slight guess against world class defenders.
But even then you are a heavy favorite to get it right if you follow the line below.
Manudude03 and MrAce came closest to what looks to me the optimal solution.
manudude03, on 2012-September-16, 02:14, said:
Let's assume diamonds are 7-2 and East if anyone guards clubs.
I agree. We can not make the hand if West guards clubs and as a working assumption diamonds being 7-2 looks reasonable. Also we assume West to have the
♦A.
However then Manudude03 continues:
Quote
Cash 6 rounds of spades. First discard is a diamond.
A minor point is that we should cash one club before running spades. Should we see 2 club discards on the run of the spades we know then clubs are running.
More important, however, our first discard should depend on, whether East has discarded a diamond or not.
Assume East has discarded no diamonds yet. When we play the penultimate spade we should discard a club.
Only a worldclass defender is likely to refuse to discard a diamond from two on the last spade. Here you must decide whether East has kept 2 diamonds or diamonds are breaking 8-1 all along. In the latter case you would have to discard a diamond.
If East has 2 diamonds left in the ensuing six card ending East must have given up either heart or club control.
Unless we see two club discards, we should assume that East has 4 minor suit cards left in the six card ending and East has given up hearts.
Since only West can now guard hearts, it is safe to give up on the club break and discard another club!!!
The six card ending is
Since West is in sole control of hearts cash both clubs, and if West does not relinquish control of hearts he must blank his diamond ace, upon which we will play the
♦T to establish the
♦K for our 12th trick.
Once East discards a diamond we do likewise. .
If East discards his second diamond we do likewise and get the end play described in the book.
So lets assume East discards just one diamond
The position after all spades have been played will be
We cash the club tops and see East still having control of club and a diamond left and therefore can have just 2 hearts and West controls hearts.
If he does not relinquish control of hearts on the clubs he will have to come down to a singleton diamond ace, upon which we discard a heart on the club from dummy and play the
♦K to establish the
♦6 in dummy.
Rainer Herrmann