Partnership agreement is that preempts can be undisciplined, what do you lead?
Premier League hand 2 lead problem
#1
Posted 2014-January-08, 18:39
Partnership agreement is that preempts can be undisciplined, what do you lead?
#2
Posted 2014-January-08, 19:20
manudude03, on 2014-January-08, 18:39, said:
Partnership agreement is that preempts can be undisciplined, what do you lead?
Heart. Seems to take the least to beat this.
#3
Posted 2014-January-09, 18:05
#4
Posted 2014-January-10, 12:16
wyman, on 2012-May-04, 09:48, said:
rbforster, on 2012-May-20, 21:04, said:
My YouTube Channel
#5
Posted 2014-January-12, 09:33
#6
Posted 2014-January-12, 10:13
A diamond lead guarantees -1 here, a club lead might work. North at the table led a heart and led to a fairly easy make even after finding the diamond switch upon winning the first round of trumps.
#7
Posted 2014-January-14, 22:19
#8
Posted 2014-January-15, 07:09
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"
"Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say."
#9
Posted 2014-January-15, 08:45
#10
Posted 2014-January-15, 11:41
bid 2h. there seems to be too little probability that a dia lead will succeed in being
effective against two "opening" distributional hands.
I applaud anyone that feels the dia lead is right and maybe you are headed for greatness:))
#11
Posted 2014-January-19, 20:40
Several of their takeaways I find suspicious -- maybe a result of the assumption that everything is played double-dummy after the lead, and the bidding system is assumed to be fixed and rigid. (For this reason, blank Aces performed well, because they enable the defenders to always defend double-dummy from that point forward. It also assumes a Stayman bidder, for example, NEVER has 5 of a major.)
All this aside... two of the most interesting takeaways, that I believe make perfect sense when you think about them, are:
(1) Singleton leads very frequently work out well, even when a ruff doesn't develop (and they also work well under the right conditions at No-Trump).
(2) Opening leads from hands that have broken honors -- K-J-x-x, K-T-x-x, Q-T-x-x, even Q-T-9-x -- perform pretty poorly against NT and exceptionally poorly, most of the time, against suit contracts.
For a diamond lead to work well here, we need partner to hold the AK, or the A and declarer the K, or we need partner to Jack (and the King would help a lot); these scenarios all are greatly augmented if dummy and declarer each have 3 of them. This is a successful parlay on this hand but, in my view, a big loser in the long run to the simple play of leading your singleton in partner's suit while holding 4 trumps and control of the trumps.
And just imagine the problems with partnership morale if the heart lead would have worked and the diamond lead permitted an overtrick!