MrAce, on 2015-February-06, 17:01, said:
It is reasonable to to think slam. But to say 30-31 hcp with only 8 card fit and balanced vs balanced is plenty for slam, is an overstatement imo.
Yep. I know, that's what I am trying to debug. Why did I go from "too flat to 4nt" to "slam is certain" I guess it was something like
"If he answers 2♥ we might have slam"
"Oh my, he did answer 2♥ - we have slam!"