1eyedjack, on 2016-July-10, 04:24, said:
I don't think that follows. If the hands where 3 is the limit (or perhaps even now too high) outgun the hands where game or slam is making, by sufficient magnitude as to outweigh the potential game/slam bonuses (which are also counteracted in part by the fact that you have not YET been doubled, which double increases dramatically in likelihood as your level increases and as you already commit to game), then there is a statistical case for passing. I am not sure whether this is a case in point, but the fact that it is possible to construct a hand where passing is bad is inconclusive. Perhaps you disagree with the auction up to 3C?
I would expect the bulk of the field to be bidding game here, I have a 14 count opposite an opening bid after all, I don't think I want to go against just in case there is a lucky lie of the cards.
Fractionally better intermediates (a major suit 10 even) and game is not that bad opposite the minimum horrible misfit that is there and the hand can be much better than that. If as the previous poster suggested you don't rebid your heart suit, you could be 6-4, then AKxxxx, Kxxx, Jx, x/AKxxxx, KQxx, xx, 10 type hands come into the frame where 3N just requires diamonds 4-2 or better.