kenrexford, on 2012-June-12, 08:07, said:
Opening 1NT is terrible, IMO, unless "15-17" means "15+ to 18-." Even then debatable.
Having opened 1NT, not accepting the slam invite would be bizarre.
The invite, however, is quite aggressive. You seem to need either Opener to have a hand where he should have opened a suit and then jumped to 2NT, or a specific moster with AK in clubs, diamond Ace, and K-Q-x-x(-x) in a major, which is fairly specific. Generally, an invite of slam would need about five cover cards, which is difficult to reliably generate missing the Ace-King of trumps. When Opener will often be looking at the Ace-King of trumps to accept, however, he will expect that he needs about 4 1/2 covers, so I suppose that the invite is not complete insanity, but wow.
I think your conclusion is right, but analysis flawed in that there are other hands that will do, Kx, Kxxx, AKxx, Kxx is plenty for example, but there is a certain specificity to the hands needed, either a doubleton spade, a major KQ, or a 5 card
♦ suit to the AK, no unconnected quacks.
There are plenty of maximum hands where slam is close to no play, Kxx, Kxx, Axx, AKxx just has 2 losers despite being 17 points all aces and kings with 4 trumps for example. It depends how mild a slam invite 3N is and how easily you can stop in 4N/5
♣ as to whether you can afford to make the invite in the first place.