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Still another high level decision

#1 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2012-August-06, 11:11

Playing in an ACBL BBO matchpoint pairs game late on Saturday night, you pick up, at unfavorable vul in 3rd seat:

----
KJ98653
96
K965

The bidding:

1 - (P) - 1 - (4)
x - (P) - ?

Your call.
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#2 User is offline   wyman 

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Posted 2012-August-06, 11:15

I'd bid 5H.
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#3 User is offline   CSGibson 

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Posted 2012-August-06, 11:19

If we had the agreement that 4N was 2 places to play, I would make that call. If not, 5 for me.
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#4 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2012-August-06, 13:54

If double is penalties, I pass.
Assuming that double isn't penalties, as most people play it as 'cards' or 'take-out', I suppose I bid 5H although there's something to be said for 6H. Or 4NT followed by 5h.
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#5 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2012-August-06, 15:41

In MP i think I have to play in hearts.

Once again a situation where 4Nt should be 2 places or H competing and 5H directly is inviting 6.
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#6 User is offline   gszes 

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Posted 2012-August-06, 22:55

4n for me

I am hoping p takes this a key card for hearts.

If p can come up with 3 aces ill guess to bid 6h
with less ill play 5h. It is just too big a position
to try clubs (of course if 5h gets x i will give
6c some serious thought) (ouch).
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#7 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2012-August-07, 06:19

Here is the whole hand:



As you can see, East-West have 3 inescapable losers, and North-South have 5 inescapable losers. So the only winning action is to pass 4x. My partner's raise to 6 only turned a 30% result into a 12% result (there were a number of -530s on the hand).

It seems that no one has been able to find the winning action so far.

Does anyone have a problem with my partner's double of 4? It seems like the normal action on her cards.
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#8 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2012-August-07, 06:41

View PostArtK78, on 2012-August-07, 06:19, said:

It seems that no one has been able to find the winning action so far.

Frances found the winning action, assuming partner's double was for penalties: "If double is penalties, I pass."

Quote

Does anyone have a problem with my partner's double of 4? It seems like the normal action on her cards.

If it was for penalties, it seems an obvious action. If double was for takeout, it's dreadful.

If it was somewhere in between, it depends where on the scale the double lies: it's reasonable to treat this hand as "balanced values", but not to treat it as "good two-way values", or "action" or "DSIP".
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#9 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2012-August-07, 07:31

View PostArtK78, on 2012-August-07, 06:19, said:

Here is the whole hand:



Does anyone have a problem with my partner's double of 4? It seems like the normal action on her cards.


If it turns out to be a poor idea for partner to pull on their KJ to seven, then that is a clue that you do not really have a t/o double. Easts action is not, by any stretch `normal', unless you play penalty doubles.
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#10 User is offline   gszes 

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Posted 2012-August-07, 10:12

this is similar to a discussion concerning negative doubles vs penalty doubles
in general. Is it reasonable to assume p has a lot of "stuff" in the opps long and
strong suit or is it more reasonable to assume their "stuff" lies outside. Yes indeed
your p has a ton of "stuff" in opps suit but they should view this as a danger sign
not a reason to x for penalty because a distributional partner will get carried away.

This presents another interesting problem bidding goes 1c p 1h 4s p p what do you do
with the 0724 hand now?? We are using p x to give us reason to bid at the 5 level are
we going to use the pass to give us a reason to bid at the 5 level also (have to bid in case
both 4s and 5h make---might still be a good sac if down 1 etc etc) interesting.
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#11 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2012-August-07, 10:16

I think most of the posters are being too harsh on East (having assumed that the double wasn't pure penalty....if it were by agreement a penalty double then I agree that West should pass).

When double is defined as 'ownership of the hand, no clear direction', which is, I think, more common than pure takeout, altho the definitions tend to blur at this level, then East can be forgiven for choosing the double, imo, simply because West will usually pass.

Indeed, East can rightfully fear that a pass over 4 may end the auction, and that defending 4 undoubled rates to lead to a horrific mp score. At imps, +100 as opposed to +300 isn't a disaster and +50 against +100 in almost inconsequential, but at mps, the undouble costs big time. So I think East should double 4 whether the agreement is penalty or hand ownership.....recognizing that the latter double isn't risk free.

However, raising 5 to 6 is bizzaro imo. We need to cover a LOT of cards for partner. We have presumably shown something along the lines of our values, altho we would usually hold another heart, so we can't claim we had a better-than-expected dummy for a heart contract. If partner didn't think slam was on, we have zero reason to overrule him.
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#12 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2012-August-07, 10:42

I think the doubling is terrible, unless its categorically defined as 'penalty'.

The raise to 6 looks like a spiteful call to me.
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#13 User is offline   ggwhiz 

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Posted 2012-August-07, 11:16

When my partner doubles it usually shows short or shorter hearts.

I'm on a 50-50 to pass hoping we can beat it or 5 as a dive. Depending on how short pards hearts are, they don't promise the world's fair at mp's.
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#14 User is offline   lalldonn 

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Posted 2012-August-07, 18:17

I think east's double is simply wrong, and bad. It would be like doubling a 4 opening bid. If you are that long in their suit you know partner is going to pull the double. Just take your plus.
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#15 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2012-August-08, 02:35

I agree with MikeH that the double was not so bad. It is not a take out double, so it is obviously not the same as a double of a 4 Spade opening.
I doubt that passing - usually showing a weak NT- is the winning call with these hands on the long run and it had not been the winning call on this hand either...
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#16 User is offline   lalldonn 

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Posted 2012-August-08, 10:22

View PostCodo, on 2012-August-08, 02:35, said:

I agree with MikeH that the double was not so bad. It is not a take out double, so it is obviously not the same as a double of a 4 Spade opening.
I doubt that passing - usually showing a weak NT- is the winning call with these hands on the long run and it had not been the winning call on this hand either...

Lol pass is not the winning action since we are entitled to 100 instead of 50, is that the argument? Believe it or not, I realized when I passed over a 4 bid with AK of trumps and two more aces that this was probably not my par result on the hand.

By the way, who says it's not a takeout double? What do you suppose is your average spade length here when someone overcalls 4? I'm not saying 0445, just that it shows high cards and can stand whatever partner wants to do, which this hand can not. Not just because of the singleton heart but because the AK of spades are so bad for offense. They were worth the same amount of tricks in partner's best suit here as the queen of clubs would have been, which is completely predictable.
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#17 User is offline   kuhchung 

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Posted 2012-August-08, 11:42

How much better would the hand have to be before bidding 6H over partner's takeout double? I thought 6H was pretty automatic but I see no one really chose it.
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#18 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2012-August-08, 11:43

Don't get me wrong: I wouldn't have doubled as East. I think it is too far from the hand that partner should play us for having. All I meant was that I could understand why, at matchpoints, someone would decide that they would risk the double because they were concerned that they'd be getting a poor score if they passed, while recognizing that they might be getting a terrible score if they doubled and partner pulled.

Looking at the East hand, one can reasonably infer that RHO may not have everyone's idea of a 4 call, in which case defending 4 undoubled rates to be a bad result. Of course, this is a tenuous inference.

However, one can also infer from our hand that partner rates to be extremely short in spades....which significantly increases the chance that he will/should pull.

So what I tried to say was that I thought the comments about the double were 'harsh', rather than that I thought the double was the best call. I saw and see the double as a call that isn't horrific if done as a gamble for the reasons set out. If done because East thought that it was the technically correct call (while not being penalty) then I think it a terrible call.

And if done at imps, unless penalty, it was definitely horrific.

In addition, I thought that the really harsh comments ought to have been addressed to that hideous 6 call.
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#19 User is offline   neilkaz 

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Posted 2012-August-08, 11:54

View PostPhil, on 2012-August-07, 10:42, said:


The raise to 6 looks like a spiteful call to me.

Such calls can end partnerships.
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#20 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2012-August-08, 12:18

Thank you all for the responses.

Do any of you worry that playing the double of 4 as not for penalty will encourage frivious preemptive actions on the part of your opponents at matchpoints? Even at IMPs bidding 4 on this auction will show a profit if you know that it is difficult for the opponents to penalize you.

I held the long heart hand in this auction, and I have to admit that the 6 bid really disgusted me. But I find that the inability to penalize your opponents in this auction is a problem. Had my partner passed over 4, I would have bid 5 and gotten a poor score (not as bad as 6Hx, but what is?). But suppose I had a lesser hand, such as:

x
Kxxxx
xxxx
Kxx

Should I act if 4 is passed back to me?

If you know that your opponents have "real" 4 calls when they make them, then it makes a lot of sense to play the direct double of 4 as something other than penalty. But if they know that you cannot penalize them, then you give them carte blanche to mess with all of your auctions.
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