A Judgement Call Partner preempts
#1
Posted 2012-July-26, 03:15
You hold:
Q8652
J102
Q93
106
#2
Posted 2012-July-26, 03:16
[edit]
People here are no fun, editing to ruin jokes, even bad ones, is unkind
#3
Posted 2012-July-26, 03:32
ahydra
#4
Posted 2012-July-26, 04:12
By bidding 4H, I expect that to go for 800 if they double, and if I force them to bid 5 of a minor, that might be more likely to get a raise to 6 than if they can bid 4 of a minor (depending on their methods).
Some sort of puerile psychic manoeuvre should get what it deserves here.
#5
Posted 2012-July-26, 04:26
What are the upsides of bidding ? if opps sell out you might only go for 500, they might play in spades which could be less than ideal for them (give the 4th hand a big 3244 opposite a 41??). The downside is that you could easily be going for 800 if partner has a doubleton club.
Unless you're swinging, pass.
#6
Posted 2012-July-26, 04:27
#7
Posted 2012-July-26, 04:56
pass 5♣
pass 5♣
#8
Posted 2012-July-26, 05:32
gnasher, on 2012-July-26, 04:56, said:
pass 5♣
pass 5♣
The relevant auctions here, though, aren't the ones you have given, but ones with a pass before the 3♥ opening. How often do you find opponents who have both passed on the first round of bidding then managing to bid a slam? Of course it happens, but I'm not convinced it happens often enough to be worth worrying about.
#9
Posted 2012-July-26, 06:04
WellSpyder, on 2012-July-26, 05:32, said:
Good point - I hadn't noticed the bit about LHO passing.
Talking of things that don't happen very often, it seems very unlikely that we'd actually have this hand on the given auction.
#10
Posted 2012-July-26, 06:27
-gwnn
#11
Posted 2012-July-26, 06:30
gnasher, on 2012-July-26, 06:04, said:
Talking of things that don't happen very often, it seems very unlikely that we'd actually have this hand on the given auction.
The only layout that remotely makes sense is something like this:
If we pass, LHO has an automatic double. I doubt they can reach 6m after this start but who knows. If I raise to 4♥, I doubt either of my opponents do anything but pass.
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#12
Posted 2012-July-26, 06:43
Phil, on 2012-July-26, 06:30, said:
...
If we pass, LHO has an automatic double. I doubt they can reach 6m after this start but who knows. If I raise to 4♥, I doubt either of my opponents do anything but pass.
Perhaps. But at the table, I would not risk a probable -800 on the assumption that opponents can both bid and make 6m. Add in the very real chance that they won't even find 5m .. no way I am bidding here.
-gwnn
#13
Posted 2012-July-26, 07:39
Phil, on 2012-July-26, 06:30, said:
If we pass, LHO has an automatic double. I doubt they can reach 6m after this start but who knows. If I raise to 4♥, I doubt either of my opponents do anything but pass.
Rho might well double 4H holding A A AK.
- hrothgar
#16
Posted 2012-July-26, 09:57
Cyberyeti, on 2012-July-26, 09:08, said:
Vul I would expect this to be penalties. NV, I would expect a light takeout.
I do not know if this is standard.
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#17
Posted 2012-July-26, 10:22
Phil, on 2012-July-26, 09:57, said:
I do not know if this is standard.
Wouldn't have this problem anyway, would have opened the W hand which despite being an aceless 10, with all the points in the long suits and a couple of 10s under higher hons I rate as a decent 11.
Light takeout NV for P-3♥-P-4♥-P-P-X deserves to dial a large number where S has a huge hand without all that many hearts and is bidding 4♥ to make. I think it probably should be pens at all vuls when pd is a passed hand.
#18
Posted 2012-July-26, 11:02
Cyberyeti, on 2012-July-26, 09:08, said:
Cyberyeti, on 2012-July-26, 10:22, said:
So we've gone from "I don't know" to an entrenched opinion within a 74 minute period.
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#19
Posted 2012-July-26, 11:28
If we don't tip them off as to our fit the guy with the doubleton (likely rho) could well have a different fit.
Say they have a stopper, pard (and I with my queens) may have an entry that thunders a 3nt contract.
Say they have no stopper, 5 of a minor might look too risky if we don't tell them their pard has a stiff. Lho will often have a tip top max for a passed hand and rho will be guessing.
What is baby oil made of?
#20
Posted 2012-July-26, 12:08
Phil, on 2012-July-26, 11:02, said:
No, I was swinging between full strength minor oriented T/O ie t/o but don't bid spades without a real load of them, I passed because I didn't want to hear spades over a double, and full blown pens.